A Year at the Speed of Ten
Henry Kim ·
"Intuition is more important than prediction."
The new year has dawned. As usual, everyone is asking about this year's trends and offering predictions. But even I, bearing the title of an expert, must honestly confess that it's difficult to gauge how the world will have changed even five years from now. No, the reality we face now is that we can't even be certain about a year from now. This is a density of time completely different from the era before AI. In this era where a single year feels compressed like a decade from the past, what meaning can there possibly be in trying to predict the distant future?
We are currently on the fastest rollercoaster in human history. Just two years ago, the massive ship of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) was invisible beyond the horizon, but now it's approaching so rapidly that it's visible to the naked eye. This is beyond mere technological advancement. Beyond text, images, and videos, it's now a world where AI can think, reason, and even code on its own. In the midst of such changes, trying to predict the future with past data is no different from driving while only looking in the rearview mirror.
Let's imagine five years from now in detail. Will that world be a utopia, or a 'techno-feudalism' society dominated by a select few who possess technology? What's clear is that the ambiguous middle ground will disappear. In an era where AI handles extreme efficiency, humanity will stand at a crossroads. Will we remain eternal children, dependent on the pleasures and basic income provided by AI, or will we freely ride AI as a tool, like a bicycle, and build our own 'originality'?
What's needed now is not vague prediction, but the 'intuition' to ride the wave that has arrived today. We shouldn't just consume apps created by others; we should try to solve our own problems through 'vibe coding,' and take the initiative by instructing AI agents. Let's leave efficiency to machines, and focus on the 'romance' and 'narrative' that only humans can create.
Ultimately, those who survive five years from now won't be people smarter than AI, but those who best leverage AI, and those with unique tastes and an 'origin' that cannot be replaced by machines. Predictions can be wrong. Haha